Seven negotiation tracks of Minsk — from potash and prisoners to uranium and a diplomatic platform. A portfolio of assets with a maturity assessment for each module.

Six competing models explain different levels of the same process. Verification using open sources: from the potash deal and commodity leverage to the Baltic exchange.

Two analytical frameworks. The classical Finlandization model with 5 forks and 3 scenarios vs. Lukashenko's multi-vector reality with 5 foreign policy vectors.